Today
-0.52%
3 Month
-3.03%
YTD
-0.92%
1 Year
+3.56%
Price Chart
251 trading days · Use "Compare" tab to overlay other ETFs + regimesPrice History
Compare — add ETFs, toggle regime overlay
Technical Analysis
Technical Signals
Daily closes · 1-year dataETF Structural Score
ETF Score evaluates fund wrapper quality, historical performance, and macro regime fit. Not financial advice.
Key Statistics
AUM
—
Expense Ratio
0.15%
Trailing Yield
—
Equity
—
Fixed Income
—
Issuer
iShares
vs S&P 500 (SPY) — 1 Year
Beta
0.14
TLT moves 86% less than the S&P 500. Lower market sensitivity — more defensive.
Correlation to SPY
0.17
Low correlation — moves more independently. Adding this alongside SPY reduces portfolio volatility.
Annualised Volatility
9.6%
Standard deviation of daily returns annualised. S&P 500 long-run avg ≈ 15%. At 10%, TLT is more stable than the broad market — typical of bond/defensive ETFs.
Relative Performance — TLT vs SPY (base 100)
About TLT
Long-duration US government bonds. Most sensitive to rate changes.
Macro Regime Alignment
Historical analysis of which macro regimes have favoured TLT. Based on the regime's characteristic interest rate environment, growth conditions, and sector rotation patterns.
Deflationary Bust
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↓
Growth contracting, prices falling. Credit markets seize, defaults rise. Long Treasuries and gold are dominant as investors flee risk.
Rate Cut Anticipation
2Y yield ↓ · Pivot approaching
Growth is slowing and the market is pricing in rate cuts. Bonds rally ahead of the Fed. Gold shines as real rates fall. Risk assets begin recovering on the expectation of easier money.
Volatility Shock
Credit spreads ↑↑ · Stress spike
A financial panic or crisis. Credit markets seize, spreads blow out, and the financial stress index spikes. Cash, gold, and US Treasuries are the only safe havens. Everything else sells off indiscriminately.
Current regime: Inflationary Boom — this ETF is not historically among the strongest performers in the current macro environment. Consider checking which ETFs are regime-aligned on the ETF Explorer.
Disclaimer: All data sourced from Yahoo Finance and is for informational purposes only. Holdings, sector weights, and AUM update daily but may lag official fund disclosures. Performance figures are price-based and do not include dividends. Regime alignment reflects historical observations and does not guarantee future returns. Nothing on this page constitutes investment advice. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.
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